Oscar Forecast

TIME刊出了后天即将出结果的奥斯卡奖的预测：
BEST ACTOR - Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland
BEST ACTRESS - Helen Mirren, The Queen (几乎没有悬念)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - Little Miss Sunshine, Michael Arndt (支持)
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Departed, William Monahan from the Hong Kong film Infernal Affairs (无耻)
BEST ORIGINAL SONG - "I Need To Wake Up" by Melissa Etheridge, from An Inconvient Truth (今年音乐类奖项提名作品都很弱)
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - Babel, Gustavo Santaolalla
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY - Pan's Labyrinth, Guillermo Navarro (更欣赏Children of Men的摄影)
BEST ART DIRECTION - Dreamgirls, John Myhre (art director); Nancy Haigh (set decorator) (其实我并不喜欢这个人的设计)
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - Dreamgirls, Sharen Davis (有趣的是预测者个人倾向于看唐代半球装:"If I were the Academy, the Oscar would go to Curse of the Golden Flower's 10th Century gowns, which put on spectacular display something you might not have thought existed in such plenitude: Chinese bosoms.")
BEST SOUND MIXING - Dreamgirls, Michael Minkler, Bob Beemer, Willie Burton
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN EDITING - Babel, Stephen Mirrione, Douglas Crise
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - Superman Returns, Mark Stetson, Neil Corbould, Richard R. Hoover, Jon Thum
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN MAKEUP - Pan's Labyrinth, David Marti, Montse Ribe
BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM - No Time for Nuts, Chris Renaud and Michael Thurmeier, Blue Sky-20th Century Fox
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM - West Bank Story, Ari Sandel, USC Film School
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT - The Blood of Yingzhou District, directed by Ruby Yang (一部反映中国AIDS问题的纪录片，不知道国内会如何反应，考虑到CCTV还将直播)
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - An Inconvenient Truth, directed by Davis Guggenheim (Al Gore会同时出现在领奖台上，这将是最众望所归的奖项)
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM - Pan's Labyrinth, Mexico, directed by Guillermo Del Toro (墨西哥人的骄傲年)
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM - Cars, directed by John Lasseter (有历史，有趣味，有浪漫，不错)
BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING - Martin Scorsese, The Departed (就让他拿了小金人吧，别再来烦我了！)
BEST MOTION PICTURE OF THE YEAR - Little Miss Sunshine, produced by David T. Friendly, Peter Saraf, Marc Turtletaub (这算是渔翁得利吗？应该不算，毕竟人家付出了6年心血)

2月26日补：金人奖越来越像金鸡奖，搞平衡，很不像由选票统计得出的结果。有线电视没有订Film 1这个台，看不了Oscar Night的直播，不看也罢，其实每次看，最吸引我的不是明星们的绰约风姿，而是那些回顾电影历史的主题短片，今年两个短片的主题是USA in Films和Writers in Films，我想看看后一个。